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DefineOperateDD-01

How to define success metrics

Define success before requirements by combining one primary outcome, diagnostic usage and a counter-metric.

Product statusAvailable now

Input3 required inputsFeature outcome and eligible population · Baseline behaviour and available telemetry · Initiative focus and approved Product Brain guidance
SkillsDefine product success measures · Prepare task context · Review an artifact against agreed criteriaProduct Manager + Product Manager Agent
OutcomeSuccess metrics: one primary outcome, usage diagnostics and a counter-metric, each with baseline, window, source, target and owner.Artifact: Success metrics

Owner

Product Manager

Human + Agent

Participants · Agents

Data AnalystEngineerProduct Manager Agent

Trigger

ManualA feature outcome and the population expected to benefit are named.

Required context

Product BrainFeature outcome and eligible populationAnalyticsBaseline behaviour and available telemetryProduct BrainInitiative focus and approved Product Brain guidance

Optional context

Customer evidencePossible adverse effectsConfluenceFeature brief

Skills

Define product success measuresPrepare task contextReview an artifact against agreed criteria

Suggested conversation arc

  1. 1Agree feature successDescribe the user and business change that would justify the feature. Select one primary outcome and clarify its eligible population.Skills: Prepare task context
  2. 2Define outcome and guardrailsSpecify the primary measure, usage diagnostics and a counter-metric with baselines, windows, sources and time-bound targets. Flag instrumentation gaps.Skills: Define product success measures
  3. 3Challenge misleading successAsk how a metric could improve while user value worsens. Check denominator shifts, missing baselines and whether targets are justified by evidence.Skills: Review an artifact against agreed criteria
  4. 4Confirm the measurement agreementAgree targets and when results will be judged; record unresolved instrumentation work as a requirement, without inventing collected data.

Output

Success metrics: one primary outcome, usage diagnostics and a counter-metric, each with baseline, window, source, target and owner.

Artifacts

Creates: Success metrics

What good looks like

  • Metrics can be calculated consistently from their definitions.
  • Targets and observations are not conflated.
  • Instrumentation gaps are requirements, not invented values.

Quality gate

The Product Manager agrees the targets and the date on which results are judged.

Destination

Product BrainConfluence

Usually next

People and agents work from the same Product Brain. The owner stays accountable. Assigned agents prepare and check. A named person approves at the gate.

Deep dives from the AI PM Lab

Articles that explain the thinking behind this Activity.

Choose the path that matches your role.

Set the Product AI direction with us, or test the shared Product Brain on real work with Jira and code.